Artificial intelligence needs an enormous amount of electricity, and small nuclear reactors are supposed to supply it. Tens of gigawatts have been announced. This page asks a narrower question with a checkable answer: what is actually operating, what is actually under construction, and what is a press release. The four numbers are very different, and the distance between them is the whole subject.
The story is everywhere: artificial intelligence needs enormous amounts of electricity, and small nuclear reactors are going to supply it. Tens of gigawatts have been announced. So it is worth asking a narrow, checkable question: is there a specific place, with an owner and a regulatory filing, where a small modular reactor is being built to power a data center?
The answer, as of August 2026, is almost, but not quite — and the gap between that and the impression most coverage leaves is the reason this page exists.
Three projects come closest, and each falls short in a different way that is worth understanding, because the ways they fall short are the shape of the whole industry.
For roughly two decades US electricity demand went nowhere. Efficiency gains in lighting, appliances and industry canceled out population and economic growth almost exactly. Retail sales in 2020 were below 2014. Across the whole decade from 2014 to 2024, growth averaged about half a percent a year.
Then it changed. The most authoritative US estimate comes from Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, and there are two versions of it — which matters, because the older one is the one everybody quotes.
| LBNL estimate | Data center share of US electricity |
|---|---|
| December 2024 report | 1.8% in 2014, 1.9% in 2018, 4.4% in 2023; projected 6.7–12% by 2028 |
| June 2026 update | 4.7% in 2024 (192 TWh); projected 11.8% by 2030, range 9.5–15.3% |
The 2026 update is the current figure and is much less widely circulated. It revised the method as well as the numbers: the earlier report counted only graphics processors, while the update also counts the custom chips that Google and Meta design themselves, and it models a category of rack-scale server that did not exist at all in 2018 and was over four percent of shipments by 2025.
The number that actually concentrates minds is not consumption but the forecast revision. Grid Strategies tracks what utilities say they expect five years out. In 2022 the industry forecast 24 GW of peak demand growth. In 2023, 38 GW. In 2024, 64 GW. In 2025, 166 GW — more than a factor of six in three years, with data centers accounting for roughly 55 percent of it. NERC's assessment published in January 2026 raised its ten-year peak forecast by 24 percent, itself 69 percent higher than the year before.
If you could connect a new power plant to the grid quickly, none of this would be happening. Nobody builds a nuclear reactor next to a warehouse full of servers because it is cheap. They consider it because the alternative is waiting.
| Interconnection queue | Lawrence Berkeley, 2026 edition |
|---|---|
| Capacity waiting at end of 2025 | ~2,061 GW active |
| Median request to commercial operation, 2008 | 22 months |
| Median request to commercial operation, 2025 | 61 months, about five years |
| Of capacity queued 2000–2020, how much got built | 13%. 75% was withdrawn |
| Withdrawal even after signing an interconnection agreement | 41% of capacity, 2000–2022 |
Read the last two rows again. A developer who plans around a specific queued power plant is planning around something with roughly a one in eight chance of existing. That is the counterparty risk that makes building your own generation look reasonable.
There is a second queue nobody had a process for. Connecting a large load has historically been a state matter with no federal standard, and the requests are extraordinary: ERCOT reported roughly 474 GW of large-load interconnection requests in August 2026, about 90 percent of them data centers, against a record actual peak of 85.5 GW. The Governor of Texas ordered an audit of those requests on 3 August 2026. FERC opened a rulemaking on large loads and received over 3,500 pages of comments.
The IAEA definition is a reactor producing up to 300 MWe per module. The US Energy Information Administration uses the same threshold and treats microreactors as a subset at 20 MW or less — though note that EIA states that in electrical terms while the Department of Energy states its microreactor range of 1 to 20 MW in thermal terms, and a 20 MW thermal machine is only about 6 to 8 MW electrical. The same number means different things in different documents.
"Modular" bundles three separate ideas that are constantly conflated: major components built in a factory rather than on an open site, shipped and assembled where they are used, and several reactors sharing one site, control room and turbine hall so capacity can be added incrementally.
| Family | Representative design | Per module |
|---|---|---|
| Light water | NuScale, GE Vernova Hitachi BWRX-300, Holtec SMR-300, Westinghouse AP300, Rolls-Royce SMR | 50–300 MWe, conventional low-enriched fuel |
| High-temperature gas | X-energy Xe-100 | 80 MWe, helium cooled, pebble fuel |
| Fluoride salt | Kairos Hermes | Test units 35 MWt each |
| Sodium fast | TerraPower Natrium | 345 MWe, up to 500 for about 5.5 hours with molten salt storage |
| Fast microreactor | Oklo Aurora | 15–75 MWe depending on which announcement you read |
Most confusion in this subject is a licensing confusion. There are several different instruments, they mean different things, and press releases blur them constantly.
| Project | Instrument | Status as of August 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| NuScale 50 MWe | Design certification | Granted, effective 21 February 2023 |
| NuScale 77 MWe uprate | Standard design approval | Granted 28 May 2025 |
| NuScale, any actual plant | — | No order, no permit, nothing under construction |
| Kairos Hermes 1 | Construction permit | Granted 14 Dec 2023, building |
| Kairos Hermes 2 (two units) | Construction permits | Granted 21 Nov 2024, building |
| TerraPower Kemmerer 1 | Construction permit | Granted March 2026, building. Operating license not yet applied for |
| TVA Clinch River (BWRX-300) | Construction permit | Staff recommended, decision expected Fall 2026 |
| X-energy Long Mott | Construction permit | Under review, safety evaluation targeted Nov 2026 |
| Holtec Pioneer 1 & 2 | Construction permit | Under review, filed 31 Dec 2025 |
| Oklo Aurora | Combined license | Denied January 2022. Pre-application since |
Roughly 8.5 GW of nuclear capacity is now under long-term contract to four technology companies. Every megawatt of it comes from a reactor that already exists or one being brought back from retirement. This is the real market, and it is contractual, dated and large.
| Buyer and seller | Plant | MW | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft / Constellation | Crane Clean Energy Center, formerly Three Mile Island 1, PA | 835 | Not yet operating. Restart targeted 2027 |
| Amazon / Talen | Susquehanna, PA | up to 1,920 | Operating |
| Meta / Constellation | Clinton, IL | 1,121 | Operating, deliveries from June 2027 |
| Meta / Vistra | Perry, Davis-Besse, Beaver Valley | 2,609 | Operating |
| Amazon / Vistra | Comanche Peak, TX | 1,200 | Operating |
| Google / NextEra | Duane Arnold, IA | 615 | Not yet operating. Restart targeted Q1 2029 |
This matters for the SMR story in a specific way. Holtec's proposed Pioneer SMR-300 units, docketed in February 2026 and behind Clinch River and Long Mott in the queue, are at the Palisades site. Everything downstream is anchored to a plant that has not yet produced a kilowatt-hour since 2022.
The appealing version of this idea is that a data center sits next to a reactor, takes power directly, and never touches the grid at all — no queue, no transmission charges, no waiting. That is called behind-the-meter co-location, and its legal status was fought out over eighteen months.
Light water SMRs run on the same low-enriched uranium the existing fleet uses, under 5 percent U-235, and the supply chain for that exists. Many advanced designs — the fast reactors, the pebble bed and molten salt machines — need high-assay low-enriched uranium, enriched between 5 and 20 percent. That supply chain barely exists in the West.
For years the only commercial source was Russia. The United States banned Russian uranium imports, and domestic production is being stood up from a very small base, with Department of Energy allocation programs distributing limited quantities to selected companies. This is widely described as the binding constraint on advanced reactor deployment.
The case for SMRs rests on a claim about cost: that factory production and repetition will make the tenth unit far cheaper than the first. The technical term is nth-of-a-kind cost reduction. It is worth being precise about the status of that claim.
The one real number. Ontario Power Generation's BWRX-300 at Darlington, the furthest advanced grid-scale SMR project in the Western world, is costed at CAD 20.9 billion for all four planned 300 MWe units, following a final investment decision on 8 May 2025. OPG breaks the first unit out separately: CAD 6.1 billion for the reactor plus CAD 1.6 billion of shared site works serving all four, so CAD 7.7 billion all in. The fourth unit is forecast at CAD 4.1 billion.
That spread is the learning-curve argument stated in a budget rather than in a brochure: a third off between the first unit and the fourth. It is also, so far, a forecast of learning rather than a measurement of it, since none of the four has been built. Note too that Darlington is not the most advanced SMR construction project in the world. The IAEA counts four SMRs in advanced construction, in Argentina, China and Russia; China's Linglong One at Changjiang has been under construction since 2021.
The cautionary tale. NuScale's Carbon Free Power Project at Idaho National Laboratory was to be the first US SMR: six modules, 462 MWe, for a consortium of Utah municipal utilities. Its target price went from $58 per megawatt-hour to $89 in January 2023, a 53 percent increase. It was canceled on 8 November 2023 because it could not reach the subscription level it needed. Note the causal chain: the design had been certified by the NRC ten months earlier. It did not fail technically or in licensing. Customers would not commit at the revised price.
For scale on the large-reactor side: Vogtle units 3 and 4 in Georgia are the only new US reactors this century. The project ran from 2009 to 2024 and cost over $30 billion.
It is possible to read a great deal about nuclear power and data centers without encountering the fact that almost nothing being built to serve this load is nuclear.
Solar and battery storage together are about four fifths of planned 2026 additions. Natural gas is about seven percent. In the interconnection queues, Lawrence Berkeley counts 773 GW of solar and 749 GW of storage against 10.4 GW of nuclear — a ratio of roughly one to a hundred and fifty.
Where gas is being built for this load, it is being built fast and on site. Global Energy Monitor counted 252 GW of US gas capacity in development in January 2026, nearly tripled year on year, with more than a third of it intended to power data centers directly. Apply the same discipline there as everywhere else on this page: in development is not under construction, and the actual 2026 gas additions are 6.3 GW against that 252 GW pipeline.
The honest summary: every gigawatt-scale AI campus operating in the United States today runs on some combination of the existing grid mix and on-site gas turbines. Nuclear is a 2030s proposition at the earliest.
The strongest skeptical position is not that AI demand is imaginary. It is that interconnection requests are a terrible proxy for load, and that a great deal of forecasting has been built on them.
A developer shopping one project to five utilities generates five interconnection requests for one data center. None of them is fraudulent; each utility sees real demand; the system counts it five times. Wood Mackenzie reported in August 2026 that US grid operators and utilities had received requests totalling 1,066 GW for data center projects — about 83 percent of the entire US utility-scale generating fleet, which stood near 1,281 GW at the end of 2025. Wood Mackenzie's own expectation is that operators will commit to roughly 28 percent of it. A number of that size, on that expectation, is evidence of intent and of duplication in unknown proportions rather than a forecast of load.
The historical precedent argument deserves a hearing too. Around 1999 a widely cited claim held that the internet would consume half of all electricity within a decade. It did not; efficiency gains absorbed most of the growth. The analysts who debunked that forecast are, in several cases, the same people raising questions now.
Note also that the near-term forecasts are being revised down even while the long-term ones go up. EIA cut its 2026 generation growth estimate; PJM cut its summer 2028 peak forecast. And the range of published 2030 estimates is so wide that, as Rhodium put it, the gap between the lowest and highest analyst expectations is itself larger than the total current electricity consumption of some entire sectors.
Passive safety is the strongest technical argument for these designs. Where a conventional plant relies on pumps, power and operator action to remove decay heat after shutdown, passive designs use gravity, natural circulation and large water inventories to do it unaided. A small core makes that easier, because there is less heat to remove and a better surface-to-volume ratio. This is why some SMR designs argue for a much smaller emergency planning zone — potentially the site boundary rather than a ten-mile radius, which is what makes siting one next to an industrial customer conceivable at all.
The disposal problem is unchanged either way. The United States still has no operating repository for commercial spent fuel, and every reactor built adds to the inventory sitting in dry casks at plant sites. Whatever else small reactors solve, they do not solve that.
Most news in this subject is noise: another framework agreement, another gigawatt figure with no site attached. A small number of things would be real signal.
Every figure here was checked against a primary source in August 2026: NRC docket and licensing pages, FERC orders, EIA generator inventories, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory reports, NERC reliability assessments, IAEA and DOE definitions, and grid operator filings. Company press releases were used only where nothing else exists, and where a release conflicted with a docket, the docket won and the page says so.
This page will age faster than anything else on this site. Treat any claim here as carrying its date. If a decision turns on it, go to the docket.