Modular Nuclear & AI Data Centers
Is it real?

Announced is not
the same as built.

Artificial intelligence needs an enormous amount of electricity, and small nuclear reactors are supposed to supply it. Tens of gigawatts have been announced. This page asks a narrower question with a checkable answer: what is actually operating, what is actually under construction, and what is a press release. The four numbers are very different, and the distance between them is the whole subject.

Read this part
Every factual claim on this page carries a date, and you should treat the date as part of the claim. This subject moves faster than any other on this site: agreements are announced, quietly restructured and silently abandoned within months, and a great deal of what is written about it repeats announcements from 2023 and 2024 that never became anything. Figures here were verified in August 2026. Nothing on this page is investment advice, and if you are making a decision that turns on any of it, go to the underlying NRC docket or FERC filing rather than trusting a summary.
ON THIS PAGE
Is Anyone Actually Building One? What the Data Centers Actually Need Why They Cannot Just Plug In What a Small Modular Reactor Actually Is The Regulatory Ladder Where the Megawatts Actually Come From Can You Plug Straight Into a Reactor? The Fuel Problem What It Costs What Is Actually Being Built The Case That This Is Overstated Safety, Waste and the Awkward Paper What to Watch Where This Comes From
The question everything else depends on

Is Anyone Actually Building One?

The story is everywhere: artificial intelligence needs enormous amounts of electricity, and small nuclear reactors are going to supply it. Tens of gigawatts have been announced. So it is worth asking a narrow, checkable question: is there a specific place, with an owner and a regulatory filing, where a small modular reactor is being built to power a data center?

The answer, as of August 2026, is almost, but not quite — and the gap between that and the impression most coverage leaves is the reason this page exists.

US SMR CAPACITY, BY HOW REAL IT IS August 2026 Announced 33 GW Non-binding frameworks and MOUs: Oklo/Switch 12 GW, Meta 6.6, TVA/ENTRA1 6, Amazon/X-energy 5, Terrestrial/Riot 4 Contracted 8.5 GW Signed power purchase agreements — every one of them to an EXISTING large reactor or a restart. No SMRs. Under construction 0.4 GW US SMRs in nuclear construction, for any customer at all: TerraPower Kemmerer and the two Kairos Hermes units Operating ZERO US SMRs producing commercial power. And SMRs under construction with a data center as contracted offtaker: also zero. 1 GW 10 GW 33 GW Logarithmic scale. On a linear one the bottom two rows would be invisible.
The same subject counted four ways. Announcements are measured in tens of gigawatts, signed contracts in single figures, construction in fractions of one, and operation in nothing at all.
The sentence to hold on to
No small modular reactor anywhere in the United States is under construction with a data center as its contracted customer. Not one. Every megawatt of nuclear power actually contracted to a hyperscaler today comes from a large reactor that already exists, or one that used to exist and is being restarted.

Three projects come closest, and each falls short in a different way that is worth understanding, because the ways they fall short are the shape of the whole industry.

  1. 1
    Hermes 2, Oak Ridge, Tennessee — the closest thing to real
    Kairos Power. The NRC issued construction permits for two 35 MWt units on 21 November 2024, and ground was physically broken on 17 April 2026. A power purchase agreement with the Tennessee Valley Authority was announced in August 2025, with Google taking the clean energy attributes. What it is not: the electricity goes to the TVA grid, not down a wire to a server hall, and no operating license has been applied for. A construction permit is permission to build, not permission to run.
  2. 2
    Project Matador, Carson County, Texas — real filing, wrong reactor
    Fermi America. 5,769 acres leased from the Texas Tech University System, and a combined license application the NRC accepted on 5 September 2025. It is explicitly a data center campus. But the reactors are four Westinghouse AP1000s — large reactors of about 1.1 GW each, not small modular ones — no tenant has been named, and site construction was paused in February 2026 pending a state air permit.
  3. 3
    Pike County, Ohio — named customer, nothing filed
    Oklo and Meta, announced 9 January 2026: 1.2 GW at the former Portsmouth gaseous diffusion plant, on land Oklo holds under a Department of Energy site use permit. A named site and a named customer, which is more than most. But no application has been docketed with the NRC. Note also that in May 2023 the same Ohio project was two 15 MWe units online by 2028; it is now 1.2 GW by 2034. It was upsized fortyfold and delayed six years at the same time.
And the one everybody calls the flagship?
The Amazon, X-energy and Energy Northwest project near Richland, Washington — the Cascade Advanced Energy Facility — is the largest and best funded of them, and it is regulatorily the least advanced of the serious contenders. As of the NRC's page update on 11 August 2026 it remains in pre-application. No construction permit has been filed. Construction is expected "by the end of the decade" and operation "in the 2030s".
And why it stopped being a niche question

What the Data Centers Actually Need

For roughly two decades US electricity demand went nowhere. Efficiency gains in lighting, appliances and industry canceled out population and economic growth almost exactly. Retail sales in 2020 were below 2014. Across the whole decade from 2014 to 2024, growth averaged about half a percent a year.

Then it changed. The most authoritative US estimate comes from Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, and there are two versions of it — which matters, because the older one is the one everybody quotes.

LBNL estimate Data center share of US electricity
December 2024 report 1.8% in 2014, 1.9% in 2018, 4.4% in 2023; projected 6.7–12% by 2028
June 2026 update 4.7% in 2024 (192 TWh); projected 11.8% by 2030, range 9.5–15.3%

The 2026 update is the current figure and is much less widely circulated. It revised the method as well as the numbers: the earlier report counted only graphics processors, while the update also counts the custom chips that Google and Meta design themselves, and it models a category of rack-scale server that did not exist at all in 2018 and was over four percent of shipments by 2025.

Training or inference?
A common assumption is that the power goes into training enormous models. It used to, more than it does now. LBNL puts training at about 35 percent of AI server power in 2024, falling to roughly 20 percent by 2030. The rest is inference — answering queries. Training is a shrinking share of a fast-growing total, so it is still growing in absolute terms, but the load that has to be served every second of every day is people using the models, not building them.
The energy-per-query number is almost always wrong
The figure of about 3 watt-hours per query, and the derived claim that a chatbot query uses ten times a web search, traces to a single 2023 estimate that assumed unrepresentatively long answers, an older generation of hardware, and peak rather than average power draw. Its comparator — 0.3 watt-hours per web search — came from a blog post in 2009. A peer-reviewed study in Joule in April 2026 puts a typical optimised query at a median of 0.31 watt-hours, interquartile range 0.16 to 0.60, and finds that high-profile public estimates overstate energy use by four to twenty times. The same paper notes that long reasoning queries can raise consumption by more than an order of magnitude, so the average is moving as models change.

The number that actually concentrates minds is not consumption but the forecast revision. Grid Strategies tracks what utilities say they expect five years out. In 2022 the industry forecast 24 GW of peak demand growth. In 2023, 38 GW. In 2024, 64 GW. In 2025, 166 GW — more than a factor of six in three years, with data centers accounting for roughly 55 percent of it. NERC's assessment published in January 2026 raised its ten-year peak forecast by 24 percent, itself 69 percent higher than the year before.

The interconnection queue is the whole reason this story exists

Why They Cannot Just Plug In

If you could connect a new power plant to the grid quickly, none of this would be happening. Nobody builds a nuclear reactor next to a warehouse full of servers because it is cheap. They consider it because the alternative is waiting.

Interconnection queue Lawrence Berkeley, 2026 edition
Capacity waiting at end of 2025 ~2,061 GW active
Median request to commercial operation, 2008 22 months
Median request to commercial operation, 2025 61 months, about five years
Of capacity queued 2000–2020, how much got built 13%. 75% was withdrawn
Withdrawal even after signing an interconnection agreement 41% of capacity, 2000–2022

Read the last two rows again. A developer who plans around a specific queued power plant is planning around something with roughly a one in eight chance of existing. That is the counterparty risk that makes building your own generation look reasonable.

There is a second queue nobody had a process for. Connecting a large load has historically been a state matter with no federal standard, and the requests are extraordinary: ERCOT reported roughly 474 GW of large-load interconnection requests in August 2026, about 90 percent of them data centers, against a record actual peak of 85.5 GW. The Governor of Texas ordered an audit of those requests on 3 August 2026. FERC opened a rulemaking on large loads and received over 3,500 pages of comments.

And self-building is not fast either
Gas turbines, the obvious alternative, are sold out. As of manufacturer earnings reported in August 2026, GE Vernova held a 116 GW backlog with delivery slots into 2031; Siemens Energy quoted about three years and held 69 GW; Mitsubishi held 35 GW. GE Vernova shipped 3 GW in a quarter while booking 20 GW of orders. Order intake is running three to seven times shipment rate, which is what a sold-out factory looks like.
And three things "modular" does not mean

What a Small Modular Reactor Actually Is

The IAEA definition is a reactor producing up to 300 MWe per module. The US Energy Information Administration uses the same threshold and treats microreactors as a subset at 20 MW or less — though note that EIA states that in electrical terms while the Department of Energy states its microreactor range of 1 to 20 MW in thermal terms, and a 20 MW thermal machine is only about 6 to 8 MW electrical. The same number means different things in different documents.

"Modular" bundles three separate ideas that are constantly conflated: major components built in a factory rather than on an open site, shipped and assembled where they are used, and several reactors sharing one site, control room and turbine hall so capacity can be added incrementally.

DO
  • Factory fabrication of the reactor pressure vessel and major components
  • Transport by rail, barge or truck to the site
  • Multiple modules on one site, added as demand grows
  • Passive safety systems that work without pumps or operator action
DO NOT
  • It does not mean the whole plant arrives on a lorry. Containment, turbine island, cooling and balance of plant are still built on site.
  • It does not mean mass production exists. No SMR production line is operating anywhere in the world. Modularity is a design intent, not a demonstrated manufacturing state.
  • It does not automatically mean cheaper. See the economics section.
  • It does not mean no waste, no fuel supply problem, and no site.
Family Representative design Per module
Light water NuScale, GE Vernova Hitachi BWRX-300, Holtec SMR-300, Westinghouse AP300, Rolls-Royce SMR 50–300 MWe, conventional low-enriched fuel
High-temperature gas X-energy Xe-100 80 MWe, helium cooled, pebble fuel
Fluoride salt Kairos Hermes Test units 35 MWt each
Sodium fast TerraPower Natrium 345 MWe, up to 500 for about 5.5 hours with molten salt storage
Fast microreactor Oklo Aurora 15–75 MWe depending on which announcement you read
Why a permit is not a license and a certificate is not a plant

The Regulatory Ladder

Most confusion in this subject is a licensing confusion. There are several different instruments, they mean different things, and press releases blur them constantly.

Project Instrument Status as of August 2026
NuScale 50 MWe Design certification Granted, effective 21 February 2023
NuScale 77 MWe uprate Standard design approval Granted 28 May 2025
NuScale, any actual plant No order, no permit, nothing under construction
Kairos Hermes 1 Construction permit Granted 14 Dec 2023, building
Kairos Hermes 2 (two units) Construction permits Granted 21 Nov 2024, building
TerraPower Kemmerer 1 Construction permit Granted March 2026, building. Operating license not yet applied for
TVA Clinch River (BWRX-300) Construction permit Staff recommended, decision expected Fall 2026
X-energy Long Mott Construction permit Under review, safety evaluation targeted Nov 2026
Holtec Pioneer 1 & 2 Construction permit Under review, filed 31 Dec 2025
Oklo Aurora Combined license Denied January 2022. Pre-application since
The most misreported status in the sector
Oklo's own press release of 9 January 2026 states that it "submitted a combined license application to the Nuclear Regulatory Commission". Read against the docket, that can only refer to the 2020 application which the NRC denied without prejudice on 6 January 2022. The NRC's Aurora page, refreshed 11 August 2026, still shows January 2022 as its last entry. The company is in pre-application, not application. This is the clearest available example of why you check the docket.
A genuinely new route
Two reactors achieved criticality in 2026 outside the NRC system entirely, under Department of Energy authorisation: Aalo-X at Idaho National Laboratory on 4 July 2026, and Oklo's Groves isotope test reactor in Texas on 5 August 2026. These are test and demonstration articles, not commercial plants, and a DOE authorisation does not transfer to a commercial site. But it is a real second track and it is moving faster than the licensing one.
Existing reactors, and restarts that have not happened yet

Where the Megawatts Actually Come From

Roughly 8.5 GW of nuclear capacity is now under long-term contract to four technology companies. Every megawatt of it comes from a reactor that already exists or one being brought back from retirement. This is the real market, and it is contractual, dated and large.

Buyer and seller Plant MW Status
Microsoft / Constellation Crane Clean Energy Center, formerly Three Mile Island 1, PA 835 Not yet operating. Restart targeted 2027
Amazon / Talen Susquehanna, PA up to 1,920 Operating
Meta / Constellation Clinton, IL 1,121 Operating, deliveries from June 2027
Meta / Vistra Perry, Davis-Besse, Beaver Valley 2,609 Operating
Amazon / Vistra Comanche Peak, TX 1,200 Operating
Google / NextEra Duane Arnold, IA 615 Not yet operating. Restart targeted Q1 2029
Two restarts, neither of which has happened
Three Mile Island Unit 1 has not restarted. The NRC's plant page, updated 13 August 2026, still records it as having permanently ceased operations in September 2019, now under restart review; the final environmental assessment was expected in September 2026 and the target is 2027. Palisades in Michigan has not restarted either. It was licensed to operate in July 2025 and has now missed October 2025, early 2026 and end of February 2026. As of July 2026 its operator had stopped giving dates at all. The first US nuclear plant restart has still not happened.

This matters for the SMR story in a specific way. Holtec's proposed Pioneer SMR-300 units, docketed in February 2026 and behind Clinch River and Long Mott in the queue, are at the Palisades site. Everything downstream is anchored to a plant that has not yet produced a kilowatt-hour since 2022.

The FERC fight that decided the business model

Can You Plug Straight Into a Reactor?

The appealing version of this idea is that a data center sits next to a reactor, takes power directly, and never touches the grid at all — no queue, no transmission charges, no waiting. That is called behind-the-meter co-location, and its legal status was fought out over eighteen months.

  1. 1
    November 2024 — FERC says no
    Amazon had bought a 300 MW data center campus physically co-located at Talen's Susquehanna plant, and PJM filed an amended interconnection agreement to expand it. FERC rejected it two to one, finding the non-standard terms had not been justified. Rehearing was denied in April 2025.
  2. 2
    June 2025 — the market answers
    Rather than keep litigating, Amazon and Talen restructured the whole arrangement to front-of-the-meter: Susquehanna sells into PJM, Talen acts as Amazon's retail supplier, and the local utility handles delivery. The largest co-located nuclear data center in America de-co-located itself and accepted grid charges.
  3. 3
    December 2025 — FERC writes a rulebook
    FERC found PJM's tariff unjust and unreasonable for lack of clarity, and ordered it to create four defined transmission service options for co-located load, plus reforms to behind-the-meter netting rules.
  4. 4
    April 2026 — partially settled
    FERC accepted some of PJM's compliance filings and rejected others, notably PJM's attempt to narrow the definition of co-located load. Questions about storage pairing and cost allocation remain open.
What it settles
Co-location in PJM is now permitted with a rulebook rather than prohibited. But the version people imagined — unplug from the grid, plug into the reactor, pay nothing for transmission — is dead there. A data center can sit beside a reactor, but it takes one of four defined service products and pays accordingly.
HALEU, and why it is a constraint but not the only one

The Fuel Problem

Light water SMRs run on the same low-enriched uranium the existing fleet uses, under 5 percent U-235, and the supply chain for that exists. Many advanced designs — the fast reactors, the pebble bed and molten salt machines — need high-assay low-enriched uranium, enriched between 5 and 20 percent. That supply chain barely exists in the West.

For years the only commercial source was Russia. The United States banned Russian uranium imports, and domestic production is being stood up from a very small base, with Department of Energy allocation programs distributing limited quantities to selected companies. This is widely described as the binding constraint on advanced reactor deployment.

Partly true, and increasingly qualified
It is a real constraint and it is easing. But it is worth noticing that it is not currently the binding one for most projects, because most projects are not close enough to needing fuel for fuel to be their problem. A design in pre-application does not have a fuel shortage. It has a licensing timeline. Fuel becomes the constraint at the point where several projects reach construction simultaneously, which has not happened yet.
One real data point, and a cautionary tale

What It Costs

The case for SMRs rests on a claim about cost: that factory production and repetition will make the tenth unit far cheaper than the first. The technical term is nth-of-a-kind cost reduction. It is worth being precise about the status of that claim.

It is a projection applied to a technology with no completed units
The most cited analysis, from Idaho National Laboratory in 2024, assumes a 9.5 percent learning rate for SMRs. Its own caveats are the decisive point: it had only 35 usable datasets, and as the report states, no SMRs were previously built — so the projections rest on bottom-up component analysis rather than on observed learning. There is no empirical learning curve, because there is nothing yet to learn from.

The one real number. Ontario Power Generation's BWRX-300 at Darlington, the furthest advanced grid-scale SMR project in the Western world, is costed at CAD 20.9 billion for all four planned 300 MWe units, following a final investment decision on 8 May 2025. OPG breaks the first unit out separately: CAD 6.1 billion for the reactor plus CAD 1.6 billion of shared site works serving all four, so CAD 7.7 billion all in. The fourth unit is forecast at CAD 4.1 billion.

That spread is the learning-curve argument stated in a budget rather than in a brochure: a third off between the first unit and the fourth. It is also, so far, a forecast of learning rather than a measurement of it, since none of the four has been built. Note too that Darlington is not the most advanced SMR construction project in the world. The IAEA counts four SMRs in advanced construction, in Argentina, China and Russia; China's Linglong One at Changjiang has been under construction since 2021.

The cautionary tale. NuScale's Carbon Free Power Project at Idaho National Laboratory was to be the first US SMR: six modules, 462 MWe, for a consortium of Utah municipal utilities. Its target price went from $58 per megawatt-hour to $89 in January 2023, a 53 percent increase. It was canceled on 8 November 2023 because it could not reach the subscription level it needed. Note the causal chain: the design had been certified by the NRC ten months earlier. It did not fail technically or in licensing. Customers would not commit at the revised price.

For scale on the large-reactor side: Vogtle units 3 and 4 in Georgia are the only new US reactors this century. The project ran from 2009 to 2024 and cost over $30 billion.

The honest counterweight

What Is Actually Being Built

It is possible to read a great deal about nuclear power and data centers without encountering the fact that almost nothing being built to serve this load is nuclear.

PLANNED US CAPACITY ADDITIONS, 2026 86 GW total, a record if it is realized Solar 43.4 GW 50% Battery storage 24 GW 28% Wind 11.8 GW 14% Natural gas 6.3 GW 7% Nuclear no new plants scheduled to come online this year Solar and storage together are about four fifths of what is being built this year. Whatever the announcements say, this is the steel actually going in the ground.
EIA figures for planned 2026 US capacity additions. Nuclear does not appear because no new nuclear plant is scheduled to come online this year.

Solar and battery storage together are about four fifths of planned 2026 additions. Natural gas is about seven percent. In the interconnection queues, Lawrence Berkeley counts 773 GW of solar and 749 GW of storage against 10.4 GW of nuclear — a ratio of roughly one to a hundred and fifty.

Where gas is being built for this load, it is being built fast and on site. Global Energy Monitor counted 252 GW of US gas capacity in development in January 2026, nearly tripled year on year, with more than a third of it intended to power data centers directly. Apply the same discipline there as everywhere else on this page: in development is not under construction, and the actual 2026 gas additions are 6.3 GW against that 252 GW pipeline.

What PJM did when it was allowed to choose
In May 2025 PJM ran a fast-track process to pick projects that would address near-term reliability. It selected 51 projects totalling 9,361 MW: 8,121 MW of gas, 2,275 MW of battery storage, 1,383 MW of nuclear — almost all of it uprates to existing plants — and zero solar. When a grid operator picks for speed and firmness, it picks gas uprates, because uprating something that already exists is the fastest firm megawatt available.

The honest summary: every gigawatt-scale AI campus operating in the United States today runs on some combination of the existing grid mix and on-site gas turbines. Nuclear is a 2030s proposition at the earliest.

Made fairly, because it is a serious argument

The Case That This Is Overstated

The strongest skeptical position is not that AI demand is imaginary. It is that interconnection requests are a terrible proxy for load, and that a great deal of forecasting has been built on them.

A developer shopping one project to five utilities generates five interconnection requests for one data center. None of them is fraudulent; each utility sees real demand; the system counts it five times. Wood Mackenzie reported in August 2026 that US grid operators and utilities had received requests totalling 1,066 GW for data center projects — about 83 percent of the entire US utility-scale generating fleet, which stood near 1,281 GW at the end of 2025. Wood Mackenzie's own expectation is that operators will commit to roughly 28 percent of it. A number of that size, on that expectation, is evidence of intent and of duplication in unknown proportions rather than a forecast of load.

The historical precedent argument deserves a hearing too. Around 1999 a widely cited claim held that the internet would consume half of all electricity within a decade. It did not; efficiency gains absorbed most of the growth. The analysts who debunked that forecast are, in several cases, the same people raising questions now.

Note also that the near-term forecasts are being revised down even while the long-term ones go up. EIA cut its 2026 generation growth estimate; PJM cut its summer 2028 peak forecast. And the range of published 2030 estimates is so wide that, as Rhodium put it, the gap between the lowest and highest analyst expectations is itself larger than the total current electricity consumption of some entire sectors.

What the skeptics and the enthusiasts agree on
Direction, and roughly the 2030 share. LBNL says 9.5 to 15.3 percent of US electricity, EPRI 9 to 17, Rhodium 10 to 14. That is a real convergence and it is worth saying plainly. The disagreement is about the top of the range, the speed of arrival, and how much of the announced pipeline is double counted.
Including an argument the industry does not enjoy

Safety, Waste and the Awkward Paper

Passive safety is the strongest technical argument for these designs. Where a conventional plant relies on pumps, power and operator action to remove decay heat after shutdown, passive designs use gravity, natural circulation and large water inventories to do it unaided. A small core makes that easier, because there is less heat to remove and a better surface-to-volume ratio. This is why some SMR designs argue for a much smaller emergency planning zone — potentially the site boundary rather than a ten-mile radius, which is what makes siting one next to an industrial customer conceivable at all.

The waste argument
A 2022 paper in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences by Krall, Macfarlane and Ewing argued that SMRs may produce more waste per unit of energy than large reactors — by volume, by radionuclide content, or by decay heat, depending on the design. The mechanism is neutron leakage: a smaller core loses proportionally more neutrons to its surroundings, which means more neutron activation of structural material and less efficient fuel use. The industry disputes the modeling and the choice of comparison designs, and the paper analyzed three specific designs rather than all of them. It has not been refuted, and it belongs in any honest account.

The disposal problem is unchanged either way. The United States still has no operating repository for commercial spent fuel, and every reactor built adds to the inventory sitting in dry casks at plant sites. Whatever else small reactors solve, they do not solve that.

The handful of things that would actually change the picture

What to Watch

Most news in this subject is noise: another framework agreement, another gigawatt figure with no site attached. A small number of things would be real signal.

And the pattern to watch for
Announcements are almost never retracted. Standard Power's 2023 plan for 24 NuScale modules at two data center sites was never formally canceled; it simply never had a filing behind it and was quietly superseded. It is still cited in trade coverage three years later. When an announced project goes quiet, that silence is the news.
And how quickly it will go stale

Where This Comes From

Every figure here was checked against a primary source in August 2026: NRC docket and licensing pages, FERC orders, EIA generator inventories, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory reports, NERC reliability assessments, IAEA and DOE definitions, and grid operator filings. Company press releases were used only where nothing else exists, and where a release conflicted with a docket, the docket won and the page says so.

This page will age faster than anything else on this site. Treat any claim here as carrying its date. If a decision turns on it, go to the docket.

The one habit worth taking away
Whenever you read that a company is "powering AI with nuclear", ask which of five things is meant: is it operating, under construction, licensed, has an application been filed, or is it merely announced? Almost every misleading claim in this subject is a sentence that quietly slides from the fifth category to the first. The distinction costs nothing to apply and it is right almost every time.